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Igor Zhulin

I would definitely agree with Jonathan, if our methodology was based on a "best BLAST hit" concept, which indeed is notorious for producing misleading results. But it is not! We have rigorously tested it by using other approaches including phylogentics (see Figure 11 and keep in mind this is just one of the many examples), and genome neighborhood analyses. For instance, if the methodology is erroneous, one would expect mixed predicitons for genes that are in operons. In contrast, we obtained very satisfactory results. For instance, when 6-7 chemotaxis genes were found in an operon, all of them were predicted to be of the same origin (either ancestral or HGT). The maximal ambiguity that we have seen was that one of the genes would be predicted HGT with low confidence, whereas the rest would be predicted as ancestral with verying degree of confidence, including 3 predicted with high confidence. One can even come up with a simple scoring matrix for this sort of relationships. Thus, the approach is definitely not totally error-free (is there such a thing?), but it is quite reliable. The real shortcoming is not that it is based on sequence similarity measures, but that it must be thoroughly designed for each individual case depending on what is your source organism and what you have in the current database.

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